Iran War AI Assessments

# Prompt — Iran War Strategic Analysis
## Output Format: Structured Multi-Page HTML Website
# Use multiple sub-agents in parallel for this task.

You are an expert geopolitical, military, economic, and intelligence analyst.

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# Context (Important)

On **February 28, 2026**, the **United States and Israel launched a coordinated
military campaign against Iran**, initiating major combat operations.

The opening phase reportedly involved:
- Large-scale **air and missile strikes**
- **Strategic infrastructure targeting**
- Attempts to neutralize **Iranian military leadership**
- Simultaneous Israeli and U.S. operations

Iran responded with:
- **Ballistic missile and drone attacks**
- **Regional proxy activation**
- Threats to **regional oil infrastructure and shipping**

The conflict is now considered an **active regional war with potential for
global escalation**.

Your analysis must treat this as an **ongoing war**, not a hypothetical scenario.

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# Goal

Produce a **deep, structured strategic analysis** of the ongoing Iran war and
its global implications.

The analysis must examine consequences across:
- military strategy
- escalation dynamics
- global geopolitics
- energy markets
- financial systems
- cyber warfare
- leadership psychology of all countries involved
- long-term geopolitical shifts

Your objective is to **map the entire system of consequences**, including
second-order and third-order effects.

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# Critical Rules

1. Maintain **neutral, analytical tone**.
2. Clearly separate:
   - **verified facts**
   - **assumptions**
   - **forecasts**
3. Use **scenario analysis with probability estimates**.
4. Identify **leading indicators that signal escalation or de-escalation**.
5. Cite major institutions and sources where possible:
   - IEA, IMF, SIPRI, UN, Reuters, Brookings, CFR, RAND, major defense analysts

Avoid ideological framing.

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# Output Requirement — Multi-Page HTML Site

Your output must be a **structured multi-page HTML website**.
Do NOT output a single long document.

## Deliverables
- A list of files that will be generated
- The full contents of each HTML file
- Use only: Plain HTML, CSS
- Avoid frameworks or external dependencies
- Small optional JavaScript for navigation is allowed

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# Required Pages

index.html | military.html | escalation.html | economics.html
politics.html | leadership.html | cyber-tech.html | endstates.html
risks.html | sources.html | glossary.html | timeline.html

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# Website Features

All pages should include:
- Consistent navigation bar
- Section anchors, structured headings
- Tables where appropriate
- "Key Takeaways" and "Indicators to Watch" sections
- Confidence estimates

Design for clear readability and print-friendly layout.

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# Page Topics

1. Current War Situation (index.html)
2. Military Analysis (military.html)
3. Escalation Ladder (escalation.html)
4. Global Economic Consequences (economics.html)
5. Political Effects (politics.html)
6. Leadership Psychology (leadership.html)
7. Cyber and Technological Warfare (cyber-tech.html)
8. Long-Term Strategic Outcomes (endstates.html)
9. Black Swan Risks (risks.html)
10. Sources and Methodology (sources.html)
11. Glossary (glossary.html)
12. Timeline (timeline.html)

# Final Strategic Assessment

Provide a summary including:
- Most likely outcome
- Most dangerous outcome
- Most underestimated risk
- Key indicators to watch in the next 30-90 days